O encontro da maior associação de agências dos Estados Unidos, a 4As, realizado semana passada em Miami, se saiu com algumas previsões importantes, embora o setor de agências de propaganda, infelizmente, não seja exatamente aquele de quem tenhamos tido as previsões mais assertivas sobre futuro algum, notadamente o seu próprio.
Ainda assim, os gênios da lâmpada de plantão no Sunshine State lançaram luzes sobre o que, acham, deverá ser o cenário dos próximos 5 anos, ou algo por aí.
Abaixo a coletânea de algumas dessas previsões por alguns líderes de agências norte-americanas, instados pela mídia a prever “5 years from now”.
Em resumo, agências digitais morrem, banners sobrevivem com programática mais assertiva e menos corrompida, a diversidade será mainstream (finalmente), além de haver maior integração da criação com a mídia, o que significa uma aparente migração para o modelo de agências que o Brasil sempre praticou.
(*) Os depoimentos abaixo foram capturados da cobertura da mídia publicitária especializada dos EUA, notadamente do AdWeek e Advertising Age.
Sean Reardon, CEO, Zenith USA
“Banners, I hope. A lot of the precision and programmatic stuff that we’re spending a lot of time on [we should shift away from]. All media agencies can produce more targeted banners than emails. I hope all of our data and technology will have a more profound outcome.
Darren McColl, global chief brand and marketing officer, SapientRazorfish
“I think media and creative will be integrated. I think that’s happening aggressively now. But I think we will redefine what creativity is. We will redefine the advertising industry; we will look at it as a true creative industry that partners with clients to solve problems.”
Robin Shapiro, global president, TBWA\WorldHealth
“I hope the whole digital agency concept goes away. To me, it’s one of those areas of specialization that reflects the past not the future. Everything is digital. If you have to say you’re a digital agency, what is going on?”
Kathleen Brookbanks, chief operating officer, Hearts & Science
“Ad agencies won’t have dedicated teams for a client. The way we service clients will be radically different. You’ll have to explain ‘we had account people, accounting planning people and so on, and these people were full-time people and these people were part time.’ [Future generations] will have no idea what you’re talking about. There will be specialization, but it will depend on what a client needs in a moment of time.”
Louis Jones, executive vice president of media & data, 4A’s
“Five years from now I think we’ll want to say that we’ve helped the industry come up with better tools because there’s the issue of technology and capturing brand safety at scale. Only technology can help us in that way.”
Luis Miguel Messianu, creative chairman and CEO, Alma
“The superficial search for diversity just for political reasons will hopefully be replaced by authentic diversity in motion.”
David Angelo, chairman and founder, David & Goliath
“With the exponential explosion of content and media tools, I really believe that it’s all going to come together as one. You can be responsible for creating content, producing it, putting it out there for select media. I really believe it’s all going to come together where people will be wearing more hats than they ever had in the past.”
“There will be new forms of fraud but the middlemen arbitrage schemes will be gone, to a large degree.”
Alanna Gombert, MetaX
Marina Filippelli, director of client services, Orci
“I hope #MeToo is no longer having to be talked about. There was quite a bit of female representation [at 4A’s Accelerate]. If we continue along those trends we won’t have to talk about this … I see that happening anyway with the next generation. They know that there’s a glass ceiling but they don’t think about it that much. They’re full force going into everything assuming they’re going to get their share of responsibility and power as it relates to how well they do their jobs and not whether they’re a woman or a man. I don’t think in five years everything will be magically solved, but I think we’ll have come a long way.”
Frances Webster, chief operating officer, Walrus
“I don’t think these large holding companies will be so dependent on massive consumer packaging companies. … That model is breaking.”
Niall McKinney, international managing director, AVADO
“If you extrapolate out manual media buying and look at trends in TV buying automation, the display market is already 82 percent programmatic. You can see it eating other types of media. Combine that in five-years’ time with AI and machine learning, and the media buying landscape will be utterly different. The role of the media buying agency will be drastically different and it will have fewer people working on it.”
Alanna Gombert, global chief revenue officer, MetaX
“Middlemen will be cut out of the supply chain. There will be new forms of fraud but the middlemen arbitrage schemes will be gone, to a large degree.”
Dan Robbins, head of research, Roku
“Consumers are going to continue to exert control over their viewing profile. When we look in five years, services will provide consumers with the ability to watch what they want and when they want it.”